Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.084648 3.590503 4.165969 4.871742 5.717601 6.703206 7.945049
2025-02-09 2.399438 3.068616 3.917035 5.083671 6.664961 8.760728 11.793954
2025-02-16 2.005186 2.725494 3.705938 5.161725 7.309291 10.426653 15.417759
2025-02-23 1.748765 2.495045 3.570432 5.270630 7.961928 12.182376 19.559866
2025-03-02 1.519961 2.255913 3.367182 5.218327 8.328422 13.540539 23.381451
2025-03-09 1.371358 2.108980 3.270970 5.301642 8.907710 15.342160 28.426227
2025-03-16 1.225174 1.942251 3.113765 5.248184 9.227831 16.737560 33.072085
2025-03-23 1.109106 1.807515 2.987180 5.220816 9.579542 18.251940 38.378173
2025-03-30 0.999142 1.668368 2.832514 5.113776 9.751928 19.436783 43.302341
2025-04-06 0.932707 1.596240 2.785574 5.199780 10.321440 21.571059 51.120381
2025-04-13 0.847386 1.480087 2.642761 5.073626 10.419575 22.681439 56.725686
2025-04-20 0.814153 1.455621 2.668653 5.293156 11.313031 25.846023 68.972393
2025-04-27 0.764193 1.403400 2.652762 5.465820 12.245770 29.644000 85.616898
2025-05-04 0.721347 1.361876 2.657510 5.699314 13.426182 34.601702 109.055083
2025-05-11 0.671084 1.297972 2.604783 5.788700 14.266967 38.934450 133.129646
2025-05-18 0.629562 1.246259 2.569748 5.912863 15.238015 44.039877 163.674028
2025-05-25 0.579578 1.170067 2.469007 5.853217 15.679966 47.663442 190.887762
2025-06-01 0.545605 1.124338 2.430882 5.948235 16.609706 53.334483 232.016470
2025-06-08 0.505654 1.060425 2.341006 5.887265 17.045895 57.453635 269.271174
2025-06-15 0.471662 1.006107 2.266776 5.856055 17.575928 62.194890 314.561502
2025-06-22 0.436345 0.944772 2.167154 5.734021 17.772355 65.724351 356.577524
2025-06-29 0.415395 0.915090 2.143396 5.832069 18.776704 73.197509 432.551239
2025-07-06 0.385098 0.859604 2.045932 5.688259 18.863118 76.647803 485.018255